Biogeographical modeling of coronavirus dispersal
The project will reformulate the coronavirus dispersal hypothesis to food web disturbance caused by ‘social mood’ of human behaviors. We will develop a dynamic system-theoretic model to capture the change pattern of such a “social mood” and identify early warning indictors. The approach will be an advance for understanding the pathogen dispersal risk among those known- and unknown- susceptible species along the food web. This will be very important for contingency plans of COVID-19, especially in travel recommendations and pathogen containment.