Determining the force of infection from a dynamic model

Through a method of mathematical modeling, we intend to obtain essential data to determine the risk of non-immune tourists acquiring dengue during the stay of these tourists in Brazil in the 2014 FIFA World Cup in 12 host cities, and in the 2016 Summer Olympics that is Rio de Janeiro as the host. In 2014, during the World Cup, 600,000 tourists are expected in Brazil. To determine the risk, a careful analysis of the number of dengue cases, by city, for the period between 2003 and 2013 is required. These data were obtained from the Ministry of Health of Brazil.
Expected results.
1 – The force of infection for each host city.
2 – The risk of dengue for tourists in Brazil.

Faculty Supervisor:

Jianhong Wu

Student:

Partner:

Universidade de São Paulo

Discipline:

Mathematics

Sector:

University:

York University

Program:

Globalink Research Award