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Climate change is becoming a factor to be accounted for in forest planning, especially in reclamation activities where the objective is to create a self-sustaining forest ecosystem in areas degraded by human activities, such as open-pit mining activities in northern Alberta Oil Sands. Oil Sands will produce up to 50% of Canadian oil demand in the following years, but when the mining activity ends, large areas of land are deprived of vegetation. Mining companies have the legal requirement to re-establish a functional forest ecosystem suitable for wildlife habitat. However, as trees need long times to growth and create a fully functional forest ecosystem, oil sands reclamation plans should account for the possible ecological effects of future climate change. Specifically, in this project a forest growth model (FORECAST) is combined with a climate/water stress simulator (ForWaDy) and with equations linking historical tree growth and climate conditions to simulate the amount of habitat available for a series of wildlife species that could be created in the reclaimed forests under different climate scenarios.
Dr. James (Hamish) Kimmins
Juan Blanco
FORRx Consulting Inc.
Forestry
Forestry
University of British Columbia
Accelerate
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